Origins: Where Are The Aliens?
The Drake Equation, formulated by astronomer Frank Drake in 1961, tries to put a number on how many communicating civilizations might exist in the Milky Way, and this film runs the equation again with decades of new data behind it. It walks through each variable in turn: the rate of star formation, the fraction of stars with planets, how many of those planets sit in a habitable zone, and how often life, then intelligence, then technology capable of signaling across space might actually arise. Kepler telescope findings anchor much of the recalculation, showing that planets are common around nearly every star in the galaxy and that many fall within the zone where liquid water could exist. Astrobiologists add evidence from Earth's own extremes, pointing to microbes surviving in deep ocean vents and polar ice as a case for life turning up in unlikely places. The final variable, intelligence, gets no such certainty, and the film lays out the competing arguments for why it might be common or vanishingly rare. Plugging in the updated numbers still leaves an estimate spanning from a handful of civilizations to tens of thousands.